An American observer comments on French politics.
Surtout, 32 % des sympathisants UMP se déclarent en accord avec les idées du Front national. "C'est 12 points de plus que l'année dernière", relève Edouard Lecerf, directeur général de TNS-Sofres.
one way to look at it is that a major party encompasses within its fold those of extremist views. one could either think that a mainstream becomes extremist, or that extremism is getting diluted by being co-opted by the UMP. but since its the FN, which means racism, which means Vichy which means fascism, it gets a little touchy...CP
A dissenting view:"L’impression, pourtant persistante, que le racisme augmente dans notre société vient aussi du fait que notre tolérance au racisme baisse. Il y a une forme d’illusion d’optique. Nous supportons de moins en moins le racisme et le racisme qui reste nous apparaît comme plus flagrant. Au total, malgré la crise, la société française (qui se métisse lentement) est plus ouverte qu’on le croit, le modèle républicain pourtant malade, intègre mieux qu’on ne le dit généralement, les discours sécuritaires et stigmatisants de l’été dernier de Nicolas Sarkozy ne l’ont d’ailleurs pas rendu plus populaire. Le constat est clair : le FN dilue son extrémisme pour garder son audience. Ça veut simplement dire que, petit à petit, le parti de Jean-Marie le Pen perd, idéologiquement."http://sites.radiofrance.fr/franceinter/chro/edito/index.php?id=99989Philippe
And at the same time, the socialists are proposing such populist ideas as a "maximum salary." Clueless on both sides of the hemicycle?
What are the Front National ideas? Are they comparable as last year? Is there any conclusion from this survey? Interpretation of a such survey doesn't seem objective. Eric Zemmour case will be more interesting to follow...
Alarming, perhaps, but a surprise? Isn't it well-known that Sarko's UMP attracted a significant share of FN types with his rhetoric about the "canaille" and its need for Karcher treatments? And played to the racists shamelessly only months ago with his demonization of the Rom? So yes, fear-mongering is a big part of the governing strategy, and Marine Le Pen will be hard-pressed to win these folks back, though her Islamophobic game is currently sharper than Sarko's.
Marine Le Pen manages to sound like she defends the interests of the little guy against big corporations (the bosses of which are all Sarkozy's friends). She makes inroads with the unemployed due to downsizing and outsourcing. She offers clear messages: clear identification of a problem, and a simple solution. Since the left has no clear message, and since Marine Le Pen is welcome on TV as an equal to all other politicians, people characteriezed as "not politically aware" by polling institutes tend to find their message there. She's very careful in her wording - for her multinational corporations are part of the destabilizing foreigners, for example.The débat sur l'identité nationale definitively blurred the lines, as did the repeat offenses by Brice Hortefeux or the "New conservatives" like Lucca (who wanted to ban the latest film about the Algerian war on account that it made France look bad).
Well, here's another stat - Marine Le Pen, 18% in the first round?... Imagine the effects on what Sarkozy would say, promise, and do...http://www.marianne2.fr/Sondage-Marianne-Marine-garde-Le-Pen-et-oublie-Jean-Marie_a201607.html?preaction=nl&id=5912482&idnl=26194&Myos
A change in leadership (once every 38 years!) obviously raises media interest, and therefore polls figures.The same for Europe Ecologie when Eva Joly arrived as a brand new presidential candidate.Marine Le Pen's attraction may last, for sure, but we need four more months to know.She's not, as far as I know, anti-Semite as her father is. She just one of all these wealthy conservative people taking warriors attitudes in front of allegedly corrupt and weak State institutions - advocating for Main Street where they never used to live. Jacques Chirac's speeches in the 80's were not far away from that. Looks like we have to live with that. But such parties seriously undermine any kind of coalition for change. Worrying, indeed.
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