The Socialists have a strong wind at their backs according to the latest polls (h/t Robert D.). François Hollande was looking confident last night on France2, and well he might, since he has put some daylight between himself and Aubry. Still, it's a long way to the elections, and a 60% Socialist vote in the second round would be quite stunning--hence to be taken with a large grain of salt.
It's also significant that 63% of respondents would not want to see DSK named prime minister. The charges in New York have taken their toll, despite the more vociferous outcries of some of DSK's defenders. The French now know too much about him. Guilt or innocence is no longer the issue; it's character, and there has been a sharp turn against DSK since mid-May.