Friday, September 23, 2011

The Affairs

It seems I've been too blasé about the several affairs currently closing in around the president. Here's the latest leak:

Affaire Karachi : des interceptions téléphoniques mettent en cause l'ex-ministre de l'intérieur Brice Hortefeux

Les enquêteurs, dans le volet financier de l'affaire Karachi, disposent d'extraits d'une conversation téléphonique, datée du 14 septembre 2011, entre Thierry Gaubert et Brice Hortefeux. L'ex-ministre de l'intérieur explique à son ami que sa femme, la princesse Hélène de Yougoslavie, "balance beaucoup". ("Le Monde")

And this:

Le contexte devient brûlant pour l'exécutif. "Si Sarko il passe pas en 2012, ils sont tous dans la merde…", affirme ainsi la fille de Thierry Gaubert à son petit ami, dans une conversation téléphonique interceptée par les policiers, le 19 juillet 2011.

Now, this is no way to run a justice system. These endless leaks are frankly shocking and make the New York Post in the DSK affair look like the soul of probity and decency. Yet if any of this can be believed, it's getting awfully close to Nicolas Sarkozy, to the point where one begins to wonder, as Bernard Girard does, whether a challenger will step forward on the right. It's a remote possibility, I think. But might François Fillon already have made the first move? His proposal yesterday to align French retirement policy with Germany's is radical and, I think, off the reservation: Sarkozy has never made any such proposal, and it could complicate his position in the campaign. For Fillon, however, it makes sense as a declaration of independence, a promise of David Cameron-like austerity on which to base a challenge candidacy from the right.


bernard said...

No. Won't happen. Sarkozy, surrounded by his many past, present, future (political) police advisers, has the means to threaten anyone on the right. And we already know he is not adverse to that pparticular task.

Anonymous said...

Yes, he'll threaten everyone. And he knows that if he loses, he loses his immunity and will be cast out to the sharks. So his survival instincts will kick in. This campaign will be no picnic. Actually, if Hollande is elected in the primaries, I wonder how he'll withstand this. As far as I know, he's never been in a fight (one of his affectionate nicknames is "flambu", which means "custard") -- they're about to let the pittbulls loose on him and nobody knows how he'll react.
Fillon's proposal wasn't off the reservation: he was pushing Sarkozy down! Such a proposal is likely to meet with such rejection (especially considering Germany has a 35-year contribution to pension scheme, which Fillon is not trying to emulate) that he's likely playing for a Sarkozy defeat and a 2017 FIllon candidacy off a disapointing left.

Anonymous said...

CLoser to home, Fillon's proposal may have had an unexpected casualty on the left:

Aubry was struggling, found her footing, and got pushed off the diving board into an empty pool by DSK. Now she finished the job herself.