Wednesday, October 5, 2011

Trichet Ends with a Whimper

Jean-Claude Trichet didn't have the luck of Alan Greenspan. Nobody ever mistook Trichet for the Master of the Universe. And now he is ending his tenure at the European Central Bank with a whimper, possibly to be followed by the bang of a major crash:

“We are the epicenter of this global crisis,” Jean-Claude Trichet, the president of the European Central Bank, said on Tuesday at the European Parliament.


True enough. A pity he didn't recognize this a few months back:


In a sign of how quickly the ground is shifting, the European Central Bank might lower interest rates on Thursday — just a few months after it started raising them in what is now seen as a misguided effort to stem incipient inflation.


Meanwhile, there is a general strike in Greece, a harbinger of things to come:


A growing chorus of analysts now predict that Europe is heading for an outright recession. “The sovereign debt crisis is like a fungus on the economy,” said Jörg Krämer, the chief economist at Commerzbank. “I thought it would be just a slowdown,” he said. “But I have changed my mind.”
Goldman Sachs predicted Tuesday that both Germany and France would slip into recession, although other forecasts are less grim.
Already, the euro zone economy has slowed to essentially zero growth. It could stay in a slump, many economists say, at least through next spring. If that happens, tax revenue is likely to fall and unemployment, already high, is expected to rise, making it even more difficult for Europe to address the sovereign debt crisis and protect its shaky banks.

1 comment:

DC said...

"Nobody ever mistook Trichet for the Master of the Universe."


Hmmm, he did win the FT's man of the year in 2007.