Monday, November 14, 2011

The Cost of Promised Reforms

The Institut Montaigne proposes to evaluate the costs or gains of various reforms proposed by the presidential candidates over the next six months. Here is the first batch:


François Hollande - Créer 60 à 70 000 postes dans l'Education nationale
Coût : 1,9 Md € par an

Nicolas Sarkozy - Proposer aux étudiants un prêt à taux zéro 
Coût : 0,36 Md € par an

Eva Joly - Engager un plan massif d'investissement dans les transports collectifs
Coût : 5 Mds € par an

François Hollande - Supprimer des niches fiscales et sociales 
Gain : 9,4 Mds € par an

Jean-Luc Mélenchon - Rétablir le droit à la retraite à 60 ans à taux plein 
Coût : 33 Mds € par an

Modem : Augmenter le budget de la recherche
Coût : 2,8 Mds € sur 5 ans

3 comments:

FrédéricLN said...

Quite curious re. MoDem : "
Modem : Augmenter le budget de la recherche"

They took our 2006 commitment (which has been recalled indeed in our 2009 agenda). But during the present presidential term, the budgets for Research increased much more than that! Especially with the Crédit d'Impôt Recherche.

The footnote by Institut Montaigne acknowledges that the proposal is not up-to-date, so why take this one?

I would suspect they needed to pretend we want to spend more somewhere, and present Mr Sarkozy as the most savvy candidate.

As a matter of fact, we push a 100 billion euros plan, in cost cuts and tax increases… But for sure, change will require to spend a bit of this money somewhere ;-)

Anonymous said...

I may be extrapolating out of context, but I'm drawn to think that the proposals listed by the Institut Montaigne and certainly publicly proclaimed by the respective parties are not really policy proposals but signals to the constituencies that each party is trying to win over. Such that the proposals are enough to warm the hearts of the target audiance but not done in a way so as to be too commited to actually following through on these proposals.


CP

Cincinna said...

"The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money [to spend]."

Margaret Thatcher