Friday, July 1, 2011

The Accuser's Prison Connection

Here.

Patricia Williams on DSK

Terrific piece, published on May 24, way back when the world looked flat, and overlooked at the time (h/t Arun Kapil).

Accuser's Lawyer Strikes Back

Kenneth Thompson, the accuser's lawyer, is fighting back with details of alleged violence against his client.

Lifted from Comments

My friend George Ross pertinently corrects my comments on Pascal Lamy's Le Monde piece:

Dear Art Pascal Lamy is someone I know and think well of, full disclosure. The piece in le Monde is a sound bite, not a real argument and certainly not a convincing essay. But it is certainly the case that Lamy believes in the positive dimensions of globalization. As you aptly point out, this, beyond his very great competence and probity, is why he is Director-General of the WTO, why he was such a successful European Commissioner for Trade, and why he was such an important actor in the relaunch of the European Union single market. But, and this is what needs to be underline, he is also a firm social democrat, and here his track record is quite as clear. For a very long time now Pascal Lamy has spent time and effort, not least in European social democratic circles, arguing the deep need to "master" globalization through creative political reform, new regulation, and solidarity with the world's very poor. Indeed, one would be hard put to fine anyone at his level of responsibility who has used his voice and influence in these directions more than he has (see, for an earlier illustration, his little book Démocratie Monde, or Google him to check out his many recent writings and speeches). It would be interesting to know how he has worked to "master" globalization in the WTO, but it is really too early for this. But the WTO, once called "medieval" in its workings by Lamy himself, is a member-based organization in which the freedom of action of its Director-General is pretty completely constrained, however. Perhaps one ought to be careful about polemics about "demondialization," Montebourg, and the writings of a few neo-Chevènementistes in the past few months. We do need to think and act very strongly about steering and humanizing globalization. But we need to keep in mind that this deglobalization stuff is being tossed about pretty lightly in what is a chaotic pre-election punchup inside the PS about who will get what nomination and what jobs later if the PS and the French Left can overcome its self-destructive infighting and that lots or irresponsible things have been, and will continue to be, proffered as solutions to France's very real problems. The demondialization flurry, at least on a quick reading, is as much or more populist rhetoric than serious proposal. Lamy is a serious center-left proposer, on the other hand. Give him at least this, then.George

Moi, on CNBC

Here.

The Prosecutor's Letter

Among other things, the prosecutor's letter, cited in a previous post, contains this:

In the interim betxveen the incident and her supervisor's arrival, she claimed to have remained in the same area of the main hallway on the 28" floor to which she had initially fled. The complainant testified to this version of events when questioned in the Grand jury about her actions following the incident in Suite 2806. The complainant has since admitted that this account was false and that after the incident in Suite 2806, she procee ded to clean a nearby room and then returned to Suite 2806 and began to clean that suite before she reported the incident to her supervisor.
She cleaned another room after allegedly being raped! This completely contradicts the story of her emotional distress after the events. The case is over.

Another Scenario

Suggested by CES Executive Director Trisha Craig: Aubry or Hollande is elected, DSK returns to France in triumph to become Prime Minister.

Incidentally, the limo driver who took me to and from CNBC turned out to be Algerian, with 2 sisters in France, and he offered 2 pertinent opinions:

1. He believes DSK was set up.
2. He thinks the US treats Muslims better than France. The veil law is, in his eyes, a wicked injustice.

Letter From Prosecutor

I haven't even read this yet.

It's All Over But the Shouting

When the defense attorneys praise the integrity and professionalism of the prosecutor, as DSK's attorneys did this morning, you can be sure the case is coming to a conclusion. Although the charges have not yet been dismissed, cash bail has been returned to DSK, and he is free to travel around the US. The accuser's credibility is in serious doubt, and I expect that a dismissal will be forthcoming in short order.

I appeared on CNBC this morning with, of all people, Elaine Sciolino, who kept talking over me, perhaps because she read my review of her book on this blog or perhaps because CNBC's operation was so chaotic. I had about 30 seconds to say what I said in a previous post, that DSK's political future now looks less dead than before, although the dust has yet to settle. I expect there will be a strong reaction in his favor in France, as many people, rightly or wrongly, will now see him as a victim either of an American rush to justice or a conspiracy by some secret service. If the latter, there may even be evidence yet to be uncovered. So stay tuned. I am now even more cautious than I was before: we literally have no idea what happened.

House Arrest Will End

Le procureur accepterait de libérer DSK sur parole

Selon Bloomberg TV, qui cite deux sources proches du dossier, le procureur a accepté de libérer Dominique Strauss-Kahn sur parole. Cela signifie qu'il sera libre de ses mouvements, mais qu'il s'engage à se présenter devant la justice américaine. Suivez la situation en direct sur Le Monde.fr

Conspiracy?

See here for information about the café in NYC where DSK's accuser hung out and its political ties to Guinea and France:

But pride of place goes to the photograph of Fofanah and Alpha Condé, who was elected last November as president of Guinea, the country from which DSK’s accuser immigrated and requested political asylum. Condé, as it turns out, also has extensive ties to major political players in France, including people close to—wait for it—both President Nicolas Sarkozy and Strauss-Kahn, who had been expected to be the incumbent’s main challenger in next year’s elections. You can see why the conspiracy-minded French find the case so fascinating.

The Burden of Proof

For a perfectly lucid analysis of why the case against DSK is unlikely to proceed if the NY Times report of new evidence is true, see here.

The question now becomes what will become of DSK's political career if he walks. And I will answer this to the best of my ability this morning on CNBC TV between the hours of 11 and 12 this morning. Six weeks ago, I confidently predicted that DSK's life in politics was over even if he was eventually acquitted. I'm no longer so sure of that. To be sure, he will not have been exonerated if the charges are dismissed, but the case will have imploded so quickly and dramatically that there is still time for him to get back into the Socialist primary. Of course a great deal of derogatory information about his sexual past, his recklessness (and even if it turns out that he paid for sex with the hotel maid, no one can deny that his behavior was reckless), and his great wealth is now a matter of lurid public record. Against all this, however, he can now present himself as a victim (of overzealous American justice, of a devious woman, or even of a possible conspiracy--where did the $100K the woman allegedly deposited in various bank accounts come from: it might have been a drug dealer boyfriend, but it might also have been some other source). Sarkozy is so unpopular, and the current field of potential rivals is so lackluster, that a revivified DSK may once again look like a savior. And yet, and yet ... it is hard to imagine a president of France trailing these casseroles behind him. A lot to ponder. Suggestions welcome.