If you're a French political junkie with an Android phone, you'll want this app. I've got mine, and the remarkable thing is that all the polls agree at this point that Hollande will win the second round 54-46. This margin has remained fairly steady for some weeks despite considerable ups and downs in the first-round polling of particular candidates. At this stage in the race, an 8-point margin would seem to be a fairly comfortable lead for Hollande,and the rolling IFOP poll, which includes some post-Toulouse massacre data, shows no surge for Sarkozy. Next week's polls should be more revealing on this score. But for now, if I were a betting man, I'd give odds for Hollande.
But get the app! It's the way to settle any arguments you might get into at the Café de Commerce about who's up and who's down.