Sunday, July 21, 2013

Du rififi chez l'UMP

Le Monde has an "insider" perspective on the UMP that is unusually candid. Copé tried to form a "club" of ex-Chiraquiens around him. Included were Bruno Le Maire, Valérie Pécresse, François Baroin, Luc Châtel, and of course Copé's Sancho Panza, Christian Jacob. But the group fell apart as ambitions clashed: Baroin and Le Maire over the nomination to replace Christine Lagarde as finance minister, Baroin and Copé over Copé's hiring of the extreme-righist Buisson as an advisor, Copé and Pécresse over Copé's increasingly naked presidential ambitions and her desertion to the Fillon camp, etc. etc. Some of the petites phrases are truly murderous, e.g. Pécresse on Copé:
"Je pense qu'il y a deux catégories de personnes pour Jean-François : celles qui comptent, qu'il faut affaiblir ; et celles qui ne comptent pas, qu'il faut câliner. A un certain moment, en politique, soit on s'essuie les pieds sur vous, soit vous existez. Au moins, maintenant, il se souvient de mon prénom."

Yet for all this maneuvering, the fact remains that a substantial majority of the UMP wants to see Sarkozy run again in 2017, so the ambitions of this whole lot of potential rivals hang on the decisions of various judges and courts in the numerous scandals in which Sarkozy has been caught up of late. Stay tuned.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

A substantial portion of the UMP base does indeed want Sarkozy in '17 but the leadership - Sarko's pals excepted (Hortefeux, Estrosi et al) - does not. And the UMP primary, following the PS model, will be open to all voters of the right and center, who will be less inclined to support a Sarko comeback.

Also, I think Sarkozy will be dragging too many casseroles to make a comeback candidacy credible.

In my early betting line, Fillon is by far the best candidate of the right to confront Hollande (should he seek reelection).

Arun

bernard said...

I agree with Arun. In fact, just about 20 years ago at the time of the referendum on Maastricht, I remember publishing an ironical piece titled "les quarantaines rugissantes" and which referred to Seguin and his generation, and they basically got nowhere as the generation before them stuck to its guns. Something similar could well happen to Copé's generation as Fillon will not relinquish.