No "Valls effect" reads the headline: after the nomination, Hollande's approval rating has fallen again to 13%, according to this poll. This is scarcely believable: given the inevitable number of "low-information voters," you'd think that noise alone would boost anyone--Astérix, Mickey, a drunk Gérard Depardieu--above 13%. Of course it's not difficult to explain why there was no post-Valls bounce: the nomination surely pissed off the last remaining left-PS voters still willing to give Hollande the benefit of the doubt. And why would center-rightists approve of Hollande simply for nominating a PM they might like better than, say, Arnaud Montebourg?
But it's really rather alarming. Given the importance of the presidency in the French system, the slightest hiccup could precipitate something close to a legitimacy crisis. There is no cushion. And with the FN likely to score big in the next elections, what response can there be from the government. The remaniement option has been used up. There are no more chairs to shuffle, no lambs to be sacrificed. The president is exposed. Something had better turn up.