Wednesday, February 4, 2009

Coup de Semonce

An IFOP poll has Sarko's approval rating down to 41 percent. In itself that figure would be neither surprising nor alarming, given the economic downturn. What should have Sarko concerned, however, is that the coalition he so laboriously assembled to win the presidency is coming apart at the seams. His support among FN sympathizers has declined by 30 percent; among Bayrou sympathizers, by 20 percent; and among PS sympathizers, 7 percent. It was his ability to draw from each of these groups that made him more than the representative of a party. If he is reduced to the UMP president, his legitimacy will shrink, and he will have a harder time maintaining control even within the UMP, where the frondeurs periodically rear their heads.

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