Thursday, May 14, 2009

Dead in the Water

Martine Aubry's Socialist Party is dead in the water as far as the European elections are concerned. Two polls show the UMP outstripping the PS by more than 5 points. Bernard Kouchner, after initially attempting to pretend he isn't nominally in charge of the government's European policy, was whipped into confessing that he will vote for the UMP (though consistency, for Kouchner as for Emerson, is the hobgoblin of little minds: in '94, as a member of Rocard's ticket, he announced that he was voting for another slate). Meanwhile, the Left is fragmented as always among Greens, the Left Front (Communists plus Mélenchon's French Linke), the NPA (which polls at a realistic 7%, well below the fanciful 40+% likability ratings of Besancenot).

In short, the PS has receded from its position in the last EU elections and is running behind the UMP. Not an auspicious beginning for Aubry.

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