Sunday, November 25, 2012

The UMP Goes to Court

The UMP is now headed to court, Fillon having filed a complaint after Alain Juppé gave up his mission of reconciling the warring Fillon and Copé clans. It is hard to see how the UMP continues as a party after this. If it splits, the big loser is Jean-François Copé, who is more powerful inside the party than in the right-wing electorate as a whole, much less with the general population. But clearly this is a saga that will not play out in a day. The danger, of course, is that the Front National has now achieved its goal of dividing the Right and may seek to pick up bits and pieces of what remains after the explosion. Some will be tempted.

What will Sarkozy do? Will he be tempted to mount his white horse and ride in as unifier? It's not out of the question, but I don't think he will like the lay of the land as it now stands, and he still hasn't amassed the fortune he wants, though he's well on his way, having delivered four major speeches to international business groups for undoubtedly handsome fees.

The rest of us can only sit back and enjoy the spectacle.

1 comment:

bernard said...

"Fillon having filed a complaint"

Has Fillon actually filed a complaint? I know that he has said he would, but I am not sure that he has. A lot of people announce that they will sue but actually do no such thing.

The one clear thing here is that UMP as a sole conservative party is a concept that worked more or less during the Sarkozy "era" due to the certainty that people would be destroyed if they diverged (les crocs de boucher and all that...), and that it cannot work anymore because there is no chief enforcer left for the time being: can Copé scare anyone but a child?