Monday, April 24, 2017

Excellent Electoral Maps.



bernard said...

have you seen herve le Bras's take on this election (l'obs)? He goes back to maps of occupied France. It is both very striking and in many ways terrifying.

Anonymous said...

Dear Art:
I live in the Minervois in l'Aude department some months a year, so have watched the results in the surrounding communes and departments with interest. My village of Caunes-Minervois yielded a tie between LP and Macron for 1st place, with each receiving 25% of the vote, Melenchon lagging with 18,62%. Poorer Rieux-Minervois went 29,83% for LP with Fillon at #2 with 21,75%, Macron #3 at 18,03%, Melenchon 4th at 16,82%. Villeneuve-Minervois, the prosperous town, gave LP 26,06^, behind Melenchon at 22,32%, Macron at 20,78%. So the Minervois saw the race for what it will be in the second round.
However, the feared LP-Melenchon match-up would be a reality if the voters in 1. Saintes-Marie-de-la Mer (Bouches-du-Rhone) (35,42%LP); 2. Citou (21,67% LP, 20,27% Melenchon) (l'Aude) and 3. Meze (Herault) (36,14%) had their way. Also true at the overarching department level in l'Aude and Herault and Bouches-du-Rhone. Pockets of communist voters gave Melenchon a victory in Bedarrieux, a poor commune high in the mountains of Herault, as well as in Pezenas, an enclave of artisans.
What stymies me is the result in lovely Castres, a prosperous market town in the Tarn, which gave LP her largest majority among those communes I've followed --a whopping 41,67%. However, it was Macron (21%), rather than Melenchon (15,48%) who came in second, notwithstanding.
So to me the takeaway is that although Macron, the presumed centrist, came in first overall in the first round, a substantial number of voters in the southwest would have preferred one or the other of the extremes. And if in the popular towns for tourists and ex-pats --Castres, Saintes-Marie-de-la-Mer, Meze and Pezenas' voters are voting for LP or Melenchon, part of the reason is resentment of the source of much of their prosperity.
Resentment, however, does not seem to be present to a similar degree in Albi, where the cathedral and the Toulouse-Lautrec museum vie for tourists. There, Macron received 27,16% of the vote, Melenchon 21,67, Fillon 19,27%, and LP 15,29%, her worst showing in all the areas I studied. Interestingly, Adam Nossiter of the New York Times did an article a few weeks ago about Albi,lamenting the degree to which the town center he remembered fondly for its local shops has been replaced by a"soulless pedestrian plaza". Quoting a local, he closes the article saying, "Albi is still a magnificent city --for the tourists."
My conclusion is that the Albigensians have made their peace with globalization, while Castres, Saintes-Marie-de-la-Mer, Meze and Pezenas have yet to do so.
Any thoughts?

Passerby said...

The 2012-2017 map of socialist vote is impressive. My first reaction was that my computer was bugging. Then I noticed the rare pink dots and understood the extend of the carnage...