Thursday, January 4, 2018

Je fais ce que je dis ...

... and apparently the public approves. Macron's approval rating, which had dipped as low as 32% over the summer, prompting hasty judgments that his presidency had already foundered, is back to 42 in the latest survey. Whether this connotes approval of Macron's policy, a favorable judgment of his style (je fais ce que je dis), or a reflection of improved economic conditions, the fact remains: Macron has come back from his initial slide, as neither Sarkozy nor Hollande did.

Still, one has to put this in perspective. Donald Trump, the most disastrous president in American history, currently enjoys an approval rating of 39% and has also come back from summer lows, Lord only knows why, since his incompetence and corruption become more manifest every day.

Still, it is important to note that Macron's approval has kept rising despite his tough talk on immigration, his persistence in enacting unpopular tax and labor-market reforms, and various gaffes and snafus. Fortune continues to favor him, and as Machiavelli pointed out long ago, no politician, no matter how great his virtù, can succeed without the blessing of fortuna.

5 comments:

Robinson said...

I don't understand why you say Macron is popular "despite" his tough talk on immigration. On can disapprove of Macron's position on immigration, but he clearly knows what he is doing. Even a very small wave of refugees into France, or the rumor of one, would be immensely controversial. Those of us who favor more generous immigration policies in Europe need to acknowledge how politically toxic this issue has become since 2015.

Anonymous said...

So both Macron and Trump are polling higher? Check out the CAC 40 and the Dow? [As Clinton famously said] It IS the Economy, stupid.

bernard said...

Both Robinson and Anonymous are right, what can I add?

Art Goldhammer said...

I think Robinson is right but not Anonymous. Just look at Germany.

bernard said...

the German complications are about to be resolved, the SPD is simply playing harder to get than last time (at least, there is inflation somewhere in Germany). Sure, opening Germany to over a million refugees two years ago, and again for 200 K last year was a shock to some Germans (13%? AfD, Merckel is the honour of Germany in my view), and so the CDU-CSU did not fare very well in the election, but the Centre (central?) coalition of sane Germans is still going to happen and was vastly in the majority in the election, and so I am not sure that I understand your German counter-example.