Monday, January 8, 2018

Whither Germany?

This is a question that matters a lot for French as well as German politics. I describe the quandary here, in my latest piece for The American Prospect.

The Gaullo-Mitterandian Consensus?

Boulevard Extérieur has organized a very interesting debate on the premises of French foreign policy, responding to an article in Esprit by Justin Vaïsse. Worth checking out.

Macron Goes to China

Has there ever been a luckier politician than Emmanuel Macron? Fortuna smiled on his presidential run. Opposition to his reforms collapsed with a whimper. And now he is poised to propose himself as the world's principal interlocutor with China. A truculent Trump has taken himself off the table, and Angela Merkel has been sidelined by domestic political complications. So Macron is free to take the long view, which appeals to the Chinese. He is free to push for action on climate change, an issue on which Trump's stupidity and unilaterlaism play into the hands of cannier competitors. Behind him he has some of Europe's mightiest industrial powers, with Airbus and Areva in the vanguard. Boeing can only look on helplessly as Trump squanders America's soft power. The Asian theater is ready-made to showcase Macron's talents, and he is likely to avail himself of this opportunity to make himself a force to reckon with on the world stage. Well played, but also, what luck!